Coronavirus: How Long

The Washington Post has an article projecting what might happen with the Corona virus.

This graph is not infections but rather how many critical-care beds are needed per 100,000 people.

The surprising thing is the timeline. Assuming we do everything there’s a really big peak in September.

Corona Virus Scenarios

Coronavirus: why quarantine?

The article in OurWorldInData.org has this (symbolic) diagram that shows why it’s important to slow down the rate of infection. It’s not to decrease the number of people infected but rather to keep the healthcare system from being overwhelmed and so causing more deaths.

The horizontal line represents the theoretical capacity of the healthcare system.

Flattening the curve

Coffee rulz!

11UP Health facebookJumbo

When I was a kid, my parents refused to let me drink coffee because they believed it would “stunt my growth.” It turns out, of course, that this is a myth. Studies have failed, again and again, to show that coffee or caffeine consumption are related to reduced bone mass or how tall people are.
Coffee has long had a reputation as being unhealthy. But in almost every single respect that reputation is backward. The potential health benefits are surprisingly large.

Good news!  Another vice becomes a virtue.  A survey of various studies and meta-studies suggest coffee (in it’s unadulterated, non-sugary, non-high-caloric form, e.g. black coffee) is good for you.
The article mentions some “coffee” drinks that are bad for you.  Like the  Large Dunkin’ Donuts frozen caramel coffee Coolatta (670 calories, 8 grams of fat, 144 grams of carbs).  A real cup of coffee has 5 calories.
This is all good news as I just bought a [amazon text=coffee grinder&asin=B00DS4767A] and [amazon text=maker&asin=B00O9FO1HK].
Or as I like to paraphrase Talleyrand

Black as the night, hot as hell; pure as an angel, bitter as love

Source: More Consensus on Coffee’s Benefits Than You Might Think

Buy or Rent?

Is it better to rent or buy?

The NY Times has a great interactive calculator for evaluating the trade-offs of buying vs. renting. It looks to cover everything:

  • House Price
  • Interest rates
  • Length of mortgage
  • Downpayment
  • Planned time to occupy
  • Future rental rates
  • Housing market expected increases
  • Taxes
  • Maintenance fees

It produces a number like:

If you can rent a similar
home for less than …
$961 PER
MONTH
… then renting is better.

Is It Better to Rent or Buy NYTimes com

Investing my money

Here’s some reinforcement from The Big Picture about why I have trouble putting money in the stock market:
Recall what Charles Ellis said when he was overseeing the $15-billion endowment fund at Yale University:

Watch a pro football game, and it’s obvious the guys on the field are far faster, stronger and more willing to bear and inflict pain than you are. Surely you would say, ‘I don’t want to play against those guys!’
Well, 90% of stock market volume is done by institutions, and half of that is done by the world’s 50 largest investment firms, deeply committed, vastly well prepared – the smartest sons of bitches in the world working their tails off all day long. You know what? I don’t want to play against those guys either.