This chart from the Fed shows how far below capacity the economy currently expressed as a percentage of total capacity.

It’s the counter argument to the proposition that the stimulus is just going to crowd out private investment. Businesses have cut back on production because of reduced demand which further reduces demand.
Category: News
Job losses as a percent of peak
Ah, here’s the version normalized to the peak employment level before recession a started. From calculatedriskblog.com:

TED and Saturn
I watched this TED talk on the Cassini probe to Saturn.
You can grab images here. It’s a great collection especially for setting as backgrounds. Here’s one from Nov 2007:

or this one from Oct 2007:

Job losses and consumer spending
Is the past prelude? Here’s a comparison of job losses in all the post-WW2 recessions. Note how bad the slope is for the current recession. Be careful though, these are absolute numbers and not relative to population.

And here is the change in consumer spending over the past 50 years smoothed to six months — meaning some bad months have gotten smoothed over with the surrounding better months. Is this really the only the second time it’s gone negative in five decades? And that first time was only barely negative.

The world is getting better one step at a time
It’s William Kristol’s last op-ed in the NY Times — ending one year of the worst written columns in NY Times history. Or as Political Animal “His columns combined the three worst qualities a columnist can have: Kristol’s work was wrong, predictable, and boring.”
From Will Obama Save Liberalism?:
This is William Kristol’s last column.
Warren Buffett and Obama
Here is Warren Buffett interview by Tom Brokaw on Dateline NBC. Buffett is very positive on Obama’s leadership. (7 min):
Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy
Interactive map of Gaza fighting
This is a great map from the Wall St Journal about the fighting in Gaza. Click on the image below to go to the interactive map. Once there, you can click on the calendar for day to day events.
From
:
I read the news today oh boy
I read the news today oh boy Seems like a popular title for a news article these days. The song is a lot more depressing then I remember.
Anyway, I thought I’d add my own, personal piece of bad news:

More on bogus $70/hour for auto workers
More on bogus claim the auto workers making $70/hour.
From Economic Scene – Figure Skews Debate of a Bailout for Detroit – NYTimes.com
“We’ve heard this garbage about 73 bucks an hour”, Senator Bob Casey, a Pennsylvania Democrat, said last week. “It’s a total lie. I think some people have perpetrated that deliberately, in a calculated way, to mislead the American people about what we’re doing here.”
Here’s a nice graphic:

Is it time to buy?
I still think it’s too risky a time to buy a house. The real estate market won’t shoot up that fast if you mis-time it by a year!
This article is trying to suggest it may be a good time (interest rates may drop to 4.5%!!!!) but don’t miss out on those little nuggets of reality:
From It May Be Time to Think About Buying a House
buyers in 33 of the markets could see a decline by 2012, including potential six-figure drops on an average home in the New York City, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Seattle metropolitan areas.

Here is yet another diagram showing how the price/(yearly rent) ratio was historically stable around 15. Not the last few years. So either rents need to go up (not very likely) or house prices need to come down.
Moreover, the relationship between rent and home prices showed remarkable stability. In recent
decades, the median home price has been roughly 15 times median annual rent

Here’s a link to the original report